Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.201072 0.226720 0.253813 0.284509 0.318261 0.354184 0.395249
2025-06-22 0.165898 0.200357 0.238815 0.284721 0.337814 0.397075 0.468000
2025-06-29 0.140451 0.180132 0.226580 0.284537 0.354454 0.435599 0.536379
2025-07-06 0.120911 0.163776 0.216148 0.284112 0.369171 0.471252 0.602079
2025-07-13 0.107363 0.152804 0.210501 0.288022 0.388205 0.511961 0.674869
2025-07-20 0.097872 0.145710 0.208595 0.295744 0.411593 0.558344 0.756032
2025-07-27 0.087881 0.136669 0.202979 0.297616 0.426800 0.594315 0.824826
2025-08-03 0.081160 0.131348 0.201655 0.304678 0.448659 0.639243 0.906414
2025-08-10 0.075487 0.126858 0.200898 0.312084 0.470880 0.685064 0.990424
2025-08-17 0.067971 0.118786 0.194203 0.310326 0.479856 0.712874 1.050718
2025-08-24 0.061836 0.112191 0.189037 0.310183 0.490706 0.743213 1.115024
2025-08-31 0.056209 0.105815 0.183612 0.309090 0.499787 0.771015 1.176300
2025-09-07 0.052714 0.102748 0.183244 0.315858 0.521086 0.817472 1.266305
2025-09-14 0.048114 0.097331 0.178686 0.315737 0.531884 0.849021 1.335939
2025-09-21 0.043948 0.092237 0.174213 0.315346 0.542045 0.879766 1.405164
2025-09-28 0.040184 0.087468 0.169872 0.314780 0.551706 0.909866 1.474130
2025-10-05 0.037594 0.084615 0.168541 0.318984 0.568905 0.951681 1.561516
2025-10-12 0.035887 0.083278 0.169717 0.327364 0.593010 1.004630 1.666964
2025-10-19 0.033371 0.080076 0.167303 0.329386 0.606721 1.041835 1.749419
2025-10-26 0.031856 0.078747 0.168166 0.337065 0.629942 1.094424 1.856696
2025-11-02 0.030495 0.077597 0.169251 0.345120 0.653998 1.148915 1.968203
2025-11-09 0.027999 0.073753 0.164944 0.343205 0.661001 1.176348 2.038092
2025-11-16 0.025927 0.070610 0.161738 0.343047 0.670880 1.208529 2.116089